Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 117.352349 135.764950 157.644243 186.002587 222.467116 268.782445 3.338022e+02
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 91.934828 113.724046 142.463521 184.641585 247.853700 344.692839 5.181023e+02
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 79.204885 102.114663 134.408062 185.965361 272.392377 426.379743 7.716194e+02
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 68.706784 91.001404 123.847881 179.443099 280.614240 483.750118 1.040538e+03
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 64.295303 87.632337 123.695828 188.863280 319.492862 624.767951 1.747039e+03
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 57.921202 80.293587 115.871392 182.818386 325.682161 696.721091 2.426275e+03
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 53.964588 76.149925 112.519065 184.035095 347.813440 830.790274 3.980040e+03
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 50.039312 71.569119 107.695442 181.228497 359.567813 946.785380 6.399683e+03
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 49.028213 71.602717 110.890637 195.423773 421.163927 1330.625126 2.233735e+04
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 49.167632 73.547414 117.821401 219.683933 527.465902 2196.537973 3.298568e+06
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 46.435138 70.182090 114.116118 218.285614 551.962961 2674.616708 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 44.277933 67.635924 111.689411 219.505424 587.537001 3423.234212 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 41.377196 63.756008 106.636474 214.403670 603.078565 4203.008820 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 39.037586 60.746552 103.103158 212.886049 635.890654 5662.347867 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 37.218683 58.524918 100.908209 214.511261 686.275797 8490.449893 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 34.883658 55.126422 95.768498 206.492314 683.853743 10242.556792 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 34.144123 54.712213 97.097080 218.083329 801.450963 24933.926668 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 32.234460 51.863906 92.628239 210.638706 800.039837 33740.811390 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 31.046260 50.348312 91.038205 212.135225 861.568326 81985.591680 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 29.671678 48.362328 88.144085 208.684656 886.791548 191664.668636 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 29.531385 48.839952 91.104181 226.189827 1109.183104 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 29.885807 50.356807 96.824654 256.403969 1561.299624 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 28.787051 48.743428 94.481621 254.652533 1653.793209 NaN NaN